Alabama still No. 1; Boise State gains first-place votes

NCAA Football Betting Lines

09/07/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alabama remained the top team in the latest Associated Press college football poll, but Boise State gained additional first-place votes after its thrilling victory over Virginia Tech on Labor Day.

The Crimson Tide (1-0) opened the season with a 48-3 rout of San Jose State on Saturday, but lost seven first-place votes from the preseason poll. Alabama earned 47 No. 1 tallies this week, after garnering 54 in the first poll, and received a total of 1,484 points from a nationwide media panel.

Ohio State (1-0), after a 45-7 thrashing of Marshall last Thursday, again held the second spot with four first-place votes and 1,412 points.

Boise State (1-0) rallied for a 33-30 win over Virginia Tech on Monday and solidified its hold of the No. 3 ranking. The Broncos originally picked up one first-place vote in the preseason poll, but were awarded eight this week.

TCU moved up two spots to fourth and is followed by Texas, Nebraska, Oregon, Florida, Iowa and Oklahoma. Texas also earned one first-place vote in the wake of a 34-17 win at Rice on Saturday.

Oregon moved up four spots from 11th after a 72-0 shellacking of New Mexico, while Florida's lackluster 34-12 win over Miami-Ohio dropped the Gators four spots from fourth. Oklahoma, which had received one first-place vote in the preseason poll, dropped three spots from seventh after a 31-24 triumph over Utah State.

The second 10 consists of Wisconsin, Miami-Florida, Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Georgia Tech, Southern California, Florida State, Penn State, LSU and Utah. Virginia Tech dropped just three places from 10th after its loss to Boise State, while Utah is one of three newcomers this week.

Auburn, Georgia, West Virginia, South Carolina and Stanford round out this week's poll. In addition to Utah, South Carolina and Stanford are new this week, while Pittsburgh, North Carolina and Oregon State dropped out of the rankings.

Utah edged then-No. 15 Pittsburgh in overtime last Thursday, 27-24, in Salt Lake City, while South Carolina moved in after a 41-13 victory over Southern Miss. Stanford thumped Sacramento State, 52-17.

North Carolina was 18th and dropped a 30-24 decision to fellow ranked foe LSU in Atlanta after learning that 13 players would be unable to play because of an investigation into academic and agent-related issues, while Oregon State, ranked 24th, also lost a neutral-site game with a 30-21 setback to TCU in Arlington.

Four games this week feature matchups of ranked teams, highlighted by Penn State's visit to Alabama. Also, Florida State travels to Oklahoma and Ohio State welcomes Miami-Florida, while a big early-season SEC matchup pits Georgia at South Carolina.

Wbetus NCAA Football Betting News

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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